QB’s that I love this week not named Peyton Manning:
Ryan Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills): Fitzpatrick has been on fire, throwing for at least 2 touchdowns every game he has started this year. He threw for 4 touchdowns and 382 yards against a vaunted Baltitmore Ravens defense. Now Kansas City is a much improved defense, but they are ranked 16th overall in giving up fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. So if Fitzpatrick played that well against Baltimore, he should at least be able to put up 250 yards with 2 touchdowns against Kansas City. If you had Romo and need to replace him for the rest of the season, Fitzpatrick would be a good route to take.
Carson Palmer (Cincinnati Bengals): He’s averaging 280 yards and 1.6 touchdowns for the season, and has been particularly putting up numbers over the last 3 games. The Miami Dolphins are ranked 19th overall in giving up fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, so everything seems to be adding up to another big week for Palmer.
Jon Kitna (Dallas Cowboys): Obviously there isn’t much to go on as Kitna hasn’t started a game since 2008, but when he did start, he always put up solid numbers. Kitna is a thrower, and in a Dallas offense that doesn’t run the ball well, and has most of its weapons in the receiving game, look for Dallas to be throwing all day long. Especially since the Dallas defense loves to give up points, so Dallas will be throwing in order to catch up every game. This week Dallas is playing the Jacksonville Jaguars, ranked 31st in giving up fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, he should have a solid first start of the year. I even picked him up in one of my leagues to fill in while my QB is on a bye.
Matt Cassel (Kansas City Chiefs): Playing the Buffalo Bills. That’s all you need to know.
QB’s that I hate:
Drew Brees (New Orleans Saints): Listen, you drafted him so you can start him every week, so you’re obviously starting him, even against one of the best defensives in the league in the Pittsburgh Steelers. The fact that he is facing the Steelers though, makes me pause just slightly. If Brees threw 4 picks against the Cleveland Browns, what do you think he’s going to do against the Steelers?
Brett Favre (Minnesota Vikings): Broken ankle in two different places, wasn’t playing well even before that happened, so I’m going to say, stick a fork in him, Brett Favre is done. You know he’s going to start this week since he’s selfish and doesn’t care about what benefits the team the most, which would be him sitting out. With him being injured, I’m sure the Vikings will be running the ball with Adrian Peterson and Toby Gerhart heavy and often, giving few opportunities for Favre to even throw. If you have a better option this week, play that guy instead.
Vince Young/Kerry Collins (Tennessee Titans): Whichever one ends up starting this week it won’t matter. The San Diego Chargers are ranked 1st overall in giving up fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, so it’s a horrible matchup. Maybe they sneak in a touchdown pass, but I would expect Tennessee to run the ball with Chris Johnson and Javon Ringer more than normal.
RB’s that I love not named Adrian Peterson or Chris Johnson:
Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones (Kansas City Chiefs): Second straight week with a good matchup, this week against the Buffalo Bills. Expect big days from both.
Marshawn Lynch (Seattle Seahawks): If Denver knew how to run the ball, maybe they wouldn’t have got smacked down by Oakland like they did. Peter Carroll likes to run the ball, and he especially should against an Oakland Raiders defense that is ranked 31st in giving up fantasy points to opposing running backs. Lynch should get at least 20 carries this week, so the potential is there for a big week.
Ryan Torain (Washington Redskins): The worst defense against the run is the Detroit Lions, which works out well for Torain, since he’s playing them this week. Torain is a hard runner, who is proving he can handle the load. He has had at least 20 carries and 100 yards over the last two games, against better defenses than the Detroit Lions.
LeGarette Blount (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): Cadillac Williams is being phased out, and the guy doing the phasing is LeGarette Blount. He had 11 carries for 72 yards against an improved St. Louis Rams defense. This week Blount is facing the Arizona Cardinals, who are ranked 27th overall in giving up fantasy points to opposing running backs. Good matchup for him, and I picked him up in both of my leagues to put him in my starting lineup. That’s an endorsement from me.
RB’s I hate:
Cedric Benson (Cincinnati Bengals): So it appears that Cincinnati has completely changed their identity from a run first team to a pass first team. That being said, Benson is still getting about 20 carries a game, but he’s only been over 100 yards once this season, with his next closest game being 81 yards. The Bengals are playing the Miami Dolphins, who are ranked 6th overall in giving up fantasy points to opposing running backs, so definitely not a good matchup for a guy struggling to get yards.
DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart (Carolina Panthers): Williams hasn’t seen 100 yards yet this season, he’s slightly injured with a foot sprain, and he’s playing the St. Louis Rams, a top 15 defense against the run. With the small injury to Williams, that should be Stewart gets a couple more carries, but not enough to make much of a difference. Carolina just doesn’t want to play Stewart like they did the past two years, so don’t expect that to change, and I’d drop him like its hot if I were you, I did.
Ryan Mathews/Mike Tolbert (San Diego Chargers): Neither one has been doing much of late, the Chargers are a pass first team, and they are facing the Tennessee Titans, who are the 4th ranked defense in giving up fantasy points to opposing running backs. No doubt you have better matchups with your other running backs, so I’d go with those guys first.
All Saints Running Backs: Chris Ivory had one good game, but that was it. Ladell Betts and Julius Jones haven’t done much either. Now they are facing the 2nd ranked defense against the run in the Pittsburgh Steelers. You’re definitely not starting any of the backs, and even flexing them is a stretch.
WR’s I love not named Reggie Wayne:
Santana Moss (Washington Redskins) (8th in targets): Moss gets the targets, he’s producing for the most part this year (yards, not touchdowns), and now he gets to face the Lions, an improving defense, but they are still the Lions. When teams play Detroit, it turns into a shootout, so don’t expect much difference this week. Plenty more targets, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see a deep bomb for a touchdown.
Pierre Garcon (Indianapolis Colts) (tied for 34th in targets): Don’t let the small amount of targets fool you. Garcon missed two games with a hamstring injury, and he was basically the 4th option for a couple of weeks. But now there is no Dallas Clark (out for the rest of the season) and Austin Collie is out for a couple of weeks. That now makes Garcon the 2nd receiver on the team. Expect big things the rest of the year from Garcon, especially this week against one of the worst pass defenses in the league in the Houston Texans.
Chad Ochocinco and Terrell Owens (Cincinnati Bengals) (tied for 10th in targets and 2nd in targets): As I said when talking about hating Cedric Benson this week, the Bengals are now a pass first team, which is understandable when you have weapons like Owens and Ochocinco. Miami is ranked 22nd in giving up fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, which bodes extremely well both guys. I could easily see big days for both.
Roy E. Williams (Dallas Cowboys) (tied for 33rd in targets): I had Williams on my hate list last week, which was 100% correct as he has 0 catches. This week, I flip flop him to my love. When Williams was in Detroit, the guy throwing the ball to him was Jon Kitna. Now the old duo is reunited as Kitna is stepping in for the injured Romo. Expect Kitna to fall back in love with Williams, leading to a nice week for Roy. He’s a solid #2 this week and a definite flex play.
WR’s I hate:
Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona Cardinals) (7th in targets): He gets the targets, that’s for sure, but the problem is that neither Max Hall or Derek Anderson are accurate enough to make those targets worth anything. It’s not a bad matchup against the Buccaneers, but again, without a QB, I’d stay away. At this point, Fitzgerald is a flex play week in and week out, maybe a borderline #2 option.
Kenny Britt (Tennessee Titans) (tied for 30th in targets): I was completely wrong with Britt last week, placing him on my hate list. He performed out of this world, and no doubt Britt was the number 1 pick up this week off the waiver wire if he was still out there. But here’s why I place Britt on the hate list this week for the second week in a row. He’s facing the #2 defense in giving up fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, so bad matchup there. He’s not going to be under the radar, so expect San Diego to be rolling the safety his way, putting him in double coverage. I wouldn’t feel comfortable with more than a flex or #3 wide receiver this week.
Michael Crabtree (San Francisco 49ers) (tied for 18th in targets): There is a Smith starting this week for San Francisco, but his name isn’t Alex. Troy Smith will be the starting QB for San Francisco in London this week against the Denver Broncos. As an Ohio State fan, I love Troy Smith and want to see him do well, but I don’t think Singletary is going to give him many chances. The Niners will pound the ball heavy and often on the ground with Gore, taking the ball out of Troy’s hands as much as possible. This will limit Crabtree’s targets which obviously will lead to decreased production. Maybe you flex him at best, but I’m benching him for Lee Evans this week.
Donald Driver (Green Bay Packers) (tied for 27th in targets): Last week Driver had no catches for the first time in forever, mainly because he was injured and had no separation from the corners. He should be healthier this week, but unfortunately he’ll be facing the New York Jets secondary, and a 100% healthy Revis. Not a good matchup, and with a lingering injury, I don’t see much production out of him this week.
TE’s I love not named Antonio Gates:
Dustin Keller (New York Jets) (tied for 26th in targets): Dustin Keller is finally producing at the level we all hoped and thought he would. This week he is facing the 22nd ranked defense in giving up fantasy points to opposing tight ends, so the opportunity is there for him to keep the good season rolling.
Jason Witten (Dallas Cowboys) (tied for 17th in targets): Just like a tight end is a rookie quarterback’s best friend, a tight end can also be the best friend of a quarterback making his first start in 2 years. Look for Kitna to be looking Witten’s way a decent amount, especially against a bad defense in the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Owen Daniels (Houston Texans) (tied for 39th in targets): This is the first week of the season that Owen Daniels has entered my top 10 rankings at tight end. He’s been getting healthier week in and week out, with all indications being that he is almost 100%. He has had 8 catches for 124 yards over his last two games proving that his health is definitely improving. Look for that improving health to translate into a very good week against the Indianapolis Colts.
TE’s I hate:
Marcedes Lewis (Jacksonville Jaguars) (tied for 29th in targets): Lewis has a bad matchup this week in facing the Dallas Cowboys, who are ranked 4th overall in giving up fantasy points to opposing tight ends. His production has decreased the last two weeks, which could be a buy product of Garrard not playing. Even if Garrard does play this week, I still don’t think he does much because of the bad matchup. But if Garrard is out another week, expect little to no production at all.
Tony Moeaki (Kansas City Chiefs) (tied for 38th in targets): Yes he has looked good for a rookie tight end. Yes he is facing a Bills defense that is ranked 29th overall in giving up fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Yes he’s basically the 2nd best receiving option on his team. But all that being said, one, he’s no Aaron Hernandez when it comes to rookie tight ends, and two, he doesn’t get very many targets. Add to that the fact the Chiefs are a run first, run second, pass third team, and you can see why is targets are limited. Finally, if you believe in trends, Moeaki produces about 4 catches and 50 yards receiving every other week. Last week he had 3 catches for 42 yards, getting him close to that average. So the trend says it should be a down week for him.
John Carlson (Seattle Seahawks) (tied for 30th in targets): In the last 3 games that Carlson has played, he has 4 catches, 39 yards, and 0 touchdowns. Clearly Carlson is now an afterthought on this team, which is sad, as he has plenty of talent and would no doubt produce if given the chance. But he’s not being given a chance, so neither should you. Bench him this week, particularly if you have a better option, which no doubt you do. I wouldn’t even use him as a bye week fill in.